Weekly Trend
This service utilizes a statistical method to maximize involvement to compound profits in the S&P500’s upward trend while reducing or stopping trading in bear markets.
Average annual return (AAR): 299%
Key Facts
- Start with as little as $50 per trade
- Instruments: SPY or SPX
- 1:1 risk to reward credit spreads
- Up to 5 trades per week in an uptrend
- Win rate: > 60%
- Trade duration: 3-7 days
- Adjustments: None
- Day trading: No
- IRA account: Yes
- Via email, SMS or executed via Autotrading.
Methodology
This strategy focuses on entering a credit spread and sometimes a debit spread with a limit order and a 1 to 1 risk-reward ratio on highly liquid instruments: SPY or SPX. The goal is to use risk management and compounding to capitalize on the S&P500’s historical upward trend.
The trades are executed with no post-entry adjustments. We emphasize an approach to participating up to five times per week in an uptrend and stopping or reducing our entries in downtrends based on technical and fundamental factors. The track record since 2013 shows the effectiveness of this strategy and a robust edge that leads to consistent profits.
The strategy can be adjusted based on the size of individual accounts, allowing for larger positions depending on the trader’s capacity and risk tolerance. For this service, we recommend 2.5% risk per trade for those with a low-risk tolerance and 5% risk per trade for those with a moderate risk tolerance. Additionally, we suggest compounding profits to enhance growth.
S&P 500 vs. SPX Weekly Trend (2.5%) vs. SPX Weekly Trend (5%)
| 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | TOTAL | AVG/YEAR | |
| S&P 500 | 29.60% | 11.39% | -0.73% | 9.54% | 19.42% | -6.24% | 28.88% | 16.26% | 26.89% | -19.44% | 24.23% | 139.80% | 12.71% |
| Weekly Trend (2.5%) | 268% | 184% | 121% | 123% | 166% | 49% | 96% | 159% | 226% | 38% | 215% | 1642% | 150% |
| Weekly Trend (5%) | 535% | 367% | 242% | 245% | 332% | 97% | 192% | 318% | 451% | 76% | 429% | 3284% | 299% |
In this table, we have allocated only 2.5 or 5% risk per trade and implemented a compounded profit strategy for a $100,000 account.
Live Results
Please click on SPX or SPY to access the live results of our autotraders. We diligently publish the authentic fills of our autotraders. It’s important to note that we consistently use a limit order to guarantee that all autotraders receive identical fills.
- 2023
- Total Trades: 136
- Winners: 91
- Losers: 45
- Winning Rate: 65%
- 429% Return on Account
- Max Losers in a Row: 10
- detailed results here.
- 2022
- Total Trades: 84
- Winners: 43
- Losers: 41
- Winning Rate: 51%
- 76% Return on Account
- Max Losers in a Row: 5
- detailed results here.
- 2021
- Total Trades: 140
- Winners: 91
- Losers: 49
- Winning Rate: 65%
- 451% Return on Account
- Max Losers in a Row: 6
- detailed results here.
- 2020
- Total Trades: 141
- Winners: 95
- Losers: 56
- Winning Rate: 61%
- 318% Return on Account
- Max Losers in a Row: 10
- detailed results here.
- 2019
- Total Trades: 151
- Winners: 88
- Losers: 63
- Winning Rate: 58%
- 192% Return on Account
- Max Losers in a Row: 10
- detailed results here.
- 2018
- Total Trades: 124
- Winners: 70
- Losers: 54
- Winning Rate: 57%
- 97% Return on Account
- Max Losers in a Row: 6
- detailed results here.
- 2017
- Total Trades: 145
- Winners: 97
- Losers: 54
- Winning Rate: 61%
- 332% Return on Account
- Max Losers in a Row: 6
- detailed results here.
- 2016
- Total Trades: 127
- Winners: 79
- Losers: 48
- Winning Rate: 61%
- 245% Return on Account
- Max Losers in a Row: 6
- detailed results here.
- 2015
- Total Trades: 116
- Winners: 69
- Losers: 47
- Winning Rate: 58%
- 242% Return on Account
- Max Losers in a Row: 7
- detailed results here.
- 2014
- Total Trades: 126
- Winners: 79
- Losers: 47
- Winning Rate: 63%
- 367% Return on Account
- Max Losers in a Row: 8
- detailed results here.
- 2013
- Total Trades: 124
- Winners: 89
- Losers: 35
- Winning Rate: 71%
- 535% Return on Account
- Max Losers in a Row: 6
- detailed results here.
Frequently Asked Questions
We recommend trading SPY for accounts ranging from $2,500 to $25,000, and SPX for accounts ranging from $15,000 to $500,000.
If you are looking to trade more than $500,000, please open an additional partition for every $500,000 in your brokerage account.
Tradier offers very competitive commissions for SPY, while Interactive Brokers provides highly competitive commissions for SPX, particularly for accounts over $100,000.
To select your preferred option, please go to the allocation page in either Global AutoTrading or AutoShares and choose either “SPY Weekly Trend” or “SPX Weekly Trend”.
The tables display real trades, not hypothetical ones. The 2024 tables show live trades from our auto traders executed through Global AutoTrading and AutoShares.
We publish the live trades of our automated traders every first trading day of the week after the market closes.
We cannot include commission costs from our auto traders because they vary depending on the brokerage chosen.
To view our interactive broker’s statement for January to March 2024, click here.
In the SPX and SPY live results tables, we risk ~5% per trade. With a starting account balance of $10.000, a winner would make $500, and a loser would lose $500.
If you plan to use compound profits, we recommend selecting “% account value” in your Global AutoTrading allocation or “percentage of account value” for AutoShares.
Important: Global AutoTrading and AutoShares calculate account value based on margin rather than risk per trade. (Risk per trade refers to the maximum amount you can lose.)
In this strategy, the margin used per trade is twice the size of your risk amount per trade.
Here’s an example:
If we sell a credit spread on SPX at the open for $2.50 and trade one contract, we collect $250. If we lose and the spread price goes up to $5.00 or $500, we lose $500. However, we collected $250 at entry, resulting in a maximum loss per trade of $250.
The risk per trade is $250, while the margin used to open this trade is $500.
Therefore, you have to select a 5% account value to have a risk per trade of 2.5%.
The brokerage adds the commission to the margin. Therefore, you may need to select 6% to ensure you get filled, depending on the brokerage commission. Try using 5% for the first trade and, if you do not get filled, then change to 6% the next day.
The S&P 500 index, which represents the performance of 500 large companies listed on stock exchanges in the United States, tends to go higher over time for several reasons. A main factor is the dynamic nature of its composition. Here is a more detailed explanation:
1. Economic Growth
Over long periods, the economy tends to grow, reflecting increases in productivity, population, and innovation. As the economy expands, corporate earnings generally increase, which can drive stock prices higher. Since the S&P 500 is a market-capitalization-weighted index, it benefits from this overall growth in the economy and corporate earnings.
2. Inflation
Over time, inflation leads to higher nominal prices for goods and services, which can translate into higher nominal sales and earnings for companies. This inflationary effect can contribute to the nominal increase in stock prices and, consequently, the S&P 500 index.
3. Reinvestment of Dividends
Many companies in the S&P 500 pay dividends to shareholders. When investors reinvest these dividends in buying more stocks, it can have a compounding effect, contributing to the long-term growth of the index.
4. Technological Advancements and Innovation
The S&P 500 includes companies at the forefront of innovation and technological advancements. These companies can grow at a faster rate than the overall economy, contributing significantly to the index’s performance. As older technologies and business models become obsolete, they are replaced by newer, more efficient ones, driving economic progress and stock performance.
5. Survivorship Bias and Adaptation
As mentioned earlier, the composition of the S&P 500 is not static. Companies that underperform or fall behind in market capitalization can be removed from the index, while those showing strong growth and market relevance are added. This process means the index tends to reflect the performance of the current leading companies in the economy. The continuous adaptation ensures the S&P 500 remains relevant and tends to grow over time, as it represents the more successful and adaptive segments of the economy.
6. Market Sentiment and Investor Behavior
Over long periods, investor optimism and the willingness to invest in equities can drive prices higher. While market sentiment can fluctuate dramatically in the short term, leading to volatility, the long-term trend has been upward due to the factors mentioned above, along with a consensus that investing in the stock market is a good long-term investment strategy.
Together, these factors contribute to the long-term upward trend of the S&P 500, despite periods of volatility and market corrections. It’s the combination of economic growth, innovation, and the dynamic, self-refreshing nature of the index itself that underpins its growth over time
Yes, we highly recommend to scale in. If your desired risk is 5% per trade, then start the first week with 2.5% and increase only after your account grows by 20%. This will reduce your drawdown if you are starting with a losing campaign.
One effective strategy is to enter the market after observing a sequence of three or four consecutive losing trades. This approach enhances a successful outcome from the very beginning.
The maximum number of trades open simultaneously is 6.
If you trade SPX, you can trade in a cash account, if you trade SPY you would need a margin account.
SPY: No. We always enter every trade with a target order that exits winning trades before expiration. In-the-money options are exited before expiration.
SPX: There are no assignments on SPX. All options are cash-settled at expiration.
What clients are saying
“I am really happy with the service. The amount of trades we are getting is amazing, thank you for all the hard work you do. My experience has been amazing. This service paid for one year in less than a month of trading.”
Steve M.
I been a subscriber of the spy weekly for about 2 months. Love the service. I been taking the trade manually when the market is good. I’d say I’m up about 40% in about 2 months.
Mike D.
“3 months and I must say I am more than happy with the program. It really is much more comprehensive than I had envisioned. Well worth the investment. Have been an advisor for 50+ years and never had such a good time during the trading day.”
“I just wanted to reach out and say how much I have enjoyed your services. Sometimes I think the market is gonna go down and instead of using my emotions to trade I take your alerts and end up making money 💰. Love your work and service! “
Erin J.
“I signed up for all three services and within the first thirty days I felt as though I’d gotten 10X the value of what I’d paid!”
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